Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ellis | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. McComb III | 30 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 6 | - |
| J. Morris | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| J. Leaks | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Jamison | 20 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| A. Newton | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| D. Wright-Forde | 12 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Baines | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Lewis | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Davis | 40 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| R. Lawson | 37 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| E. Alvin | 35 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Worrell Jr. | 32 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 13 | - |
| W. Peggs Jr. | 28 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| C. Meeks | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Oliver | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Bumpass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter