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2026-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Norfolk State Spartans Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 67.4% 32.6% -4.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% -
Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 73.1% 26.9% -
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Morgan State Bears +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ellis 33 6-14 0-1 2-7 7 2 1 0 0 14 10 -
A. McComb III 30 7-18 4-8 5-6 2 0 0 0 1 23 6 -
J. Morris 27 6-8 0-0 4-4 12 1 0 2 2 16 21 -
J. Leaks 25 2-6 1-4 1-3 5 3 1 0 1 6 8 -
M. Jenkins 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 4 8 -
E. Jamison 20 4-14 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 0 -
A. Newton 20 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 5 0 0 0 1 5 -
D. Wright-Forde 12 3-8 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 8 6 -
M. Baines 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Lewis 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Davis 40 5-8 0-1 5-8 2 10 0 0 1 15 18 -
R. Lawson 37 7-11 4-6 2-3 6 1 0 0 0 20 16 -
E. Alvin 35 6-10 3-4 4-4 5 1 0 2 2 19 15 -
A. Worrell Jr. 32 3-11 2-7 8-8 8 5 1 0 6 16 13 -
W. Peggs Jr. 28 7-13 5-10 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 20 9 -
C. Meeks 21 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 0 5 -
C. Oliver 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
D. Bumpass 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter