Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Page | 33 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | -1.8 |
| V. Zanki | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -0.0 |
| R. Prudhomme | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -2.0 |
| J. Hawkins | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2.0 |
| J. Sabino | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +1.1 |
| B. Griffith | 18 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +3.1 |
| L. Williams | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.9 |
| W. Shortt | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.0 |
| K. Tshibangu | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.0 |
| D. Larson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lawson | 39 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 13 | +1.8 |
| C. Meeks | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| E. Alvin | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | -0.3 |
| A. Worrell Jr. | 30 | 7-8 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | +6.7 |
| D. Bumpass | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +1.7 |
| M. Wade | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -0.2 |
| C. Oliver | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Lual | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| M. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| J. Socka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. James | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter