Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | +6.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +8 (81-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | -12.6 |
| Reggie Prudhomme * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -10.2 |
| Justin Hawkins * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -13.6 |
| Josiah Sabino * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Will Shortt * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Vice Zanki | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Brian Griffith | 18 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Landon Williams | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Drew Larson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Lawson * | 39 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Christian Meeks * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Eugene Alvin * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | -1.4 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. * | 30 | 7-8 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | +10.6 |
| Christian Oliver * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +12.8 |
| David Bumpass | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Matar Wade | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Manok Lual | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Marland Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Dallas James | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Jayden Socka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Breon Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter