Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State Eagles | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | +9.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +4 (70-66). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demariontay Hall * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Torrin Andrews * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Hassan Perkins * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -13.1 |
| Khali Horton * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | +4.0 |
| Tyler Koenig * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Hussain Williams | 30 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Jamari Piercy | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Baasil Saunders | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Taj Thweatt | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -8.4 |
| Nelson Lamizana | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Favour Aire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene Alvin * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Rob Lawson * | 35 | 4-18 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -14.0 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Christian Meeks * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Elijah Davis * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -11.8 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Manok Lual | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.3 |
| David Bumpass | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
| Christian Oliver | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter