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Morgan State Bears 14-16
@
2026-02-14
South Carolina State Bulldogs 10-22

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears South Caroli... Spread Projected
Elo
2025-26 season-end ratings
 32.2% (#316) 67.8% (#305) South C... -4.0 71-75
Bradley-Terry
2025-26 season-end ratings
 50.9% (#321) 49.1% (#343) - -
Margin
2025-26 season-end ratings
 47.8% (#354) 52.2% (#360) South C... -0.5 -
Pythagorean
2025-26 season-end ratings
 62.9% (#325) 37.1% (#354) - -
Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 71.1% (#325) 28.9% (#354) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 56.4% (#355) 43.6% (#360) - -
Log Adjusted
2025-26 season-end ratings
 56.3% (#356) 43.7% (#360) - -
Points Off/Def
2025-26 season-end ratings
 47.3% (#354) 52.7% (#360) - -

2025-26 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.4 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.7-point home edge (2024-25 margin fit); projected score: 2024-25's average total of 146 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Morgan State Bears South Caroli...
Games 30 32
PPG 75.3 67.1
FG% 42.4% 41.2%
3PT% 33.1% 33.7%
FT% 74.2% 66.9%
RPG 34.9 31.0
APG 13.2 12.1
SPG 5.0 7.0
BPG 3.6 3.9
TOPG 12.6 14.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Morgan State Bears South Caroli...
Adj. Off Eff 87.9 86.6
Adj. Def Eff 112.1 113.4
Adj. Net Eff -24.2 -26.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Morgan State Bears Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Elijah Davis 13.8 3.3 5.9 1.1 0.2 34.9
Rob Lawson 12.8 3.6 4.0 0.7 0.1 32.8
Christian Meeks 5.9 5.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 28.6
Alfred Worrell Jr. 17.4 3.8 1.1 0.9 0.2 28.5
Eugene Alvin 7.3 3.6 0.4 0.7 0.5 19.3

South Carolina St... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayden Johnson 13.4 3.0 3.5 1.4 0.0 27.4
Florian Tenebay 7.0 2.8 1.9 1.2 0.1 22.9
Noah Treadwell 9.4 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 22.6
Cameron Clark 8.2 5.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 21.4
Obie Bronston Jr. 10.3 2.6 0.6 0.7 0.0 21.1