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Morgan State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History
Coach: Kevin Broadus

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

85.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
43.6%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
48.0
RPG
13.5
APG
16.0
TO
78.9
Est. poss./game
67.9
Adj PPG
69.8
Adj Opp PPG
#259
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 779 (returning production + recruiting): last season 848, returning +16, transfers -69, freshmen -16 More → 784 (#293) Preseason prior 779 (returning production + recruiting): last season 848, returning +16, transfers -69, freshmen -16
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More → 901 (#280) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More → 956 (#246) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → -15.1 (#337) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → -14.9 (#339) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.293 (#235) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.2 More → 0.291 (#304) AdjNet -13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.287 (#301) AdjNet -13.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.382 (#259) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 69.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.417 (#242) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 69.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.303 (#302) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.309 (#299) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 197 | GP 2 More → 871 (#286) RD 197 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.214 (#318) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Cheyney (PA) Wolves W 103 - 52
2026-11-04 vs Virginia Lynchburg Dragons W 95 - 58
2026-11-07 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 73 - 67
2026-11-12 @ UMBC Retrievers L 70 - 85
2026-11-14 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds - Preview
2026-11-18 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alfred Worrell Jr. Alfred Worrell Jr. G 4 27.0 22.2 6.2 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.5 12.8 16.5 59 3 19.7 33.6 45.1 43.3 85.7 1.11 67.0 57.8
Keith Richard Keith Richard G 4 31.2 15.2 4.8 3.0 1.2 0.2 3.5 11.0 10.0 65 3 21.7 29.7 47.7 46.2 100.0 1.11 64.8 61.4
Ibrahima Traore Ibrahima Traore F 4 22.2 7.5 7.8 1.2 0.5 1.5 1.8 5.5 11.2 53 3 17.7 40.6 59.1 0 36.4 0.25 55.9 59.1
Jeremiah Kwarteng Jeremiah Kwarteng G 4 21.2 7.2 4.0 1.8 1.0 0.2 2.0 8.8 3.5 49 3 16.3 31.4 28.6 9.1 66.7 0.84 36.0 30.0
Trent Edwards Trent Edwards F 4 23.0 6.0 6.8 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 5.2 10.0 50 3 16.7 27.7 47.6 0.0 80.0 1.4 51.7 47.6
John Awoke John Awoke G 4 21.0 5.2 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 6.5 3.2 49 3 16.3 40.8 26.9 17.6 100.0 0.42 37.8 32.7
Trey Pettigrew Trey Pettigrew F 4 10.8 5.0 1.5 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 4.8 2.5 26 3 8.7 31.2 47.4 25.0 50.0 0.2 50.3 50.0
Khali Horton Khali Horton F 4 9.2 4.8 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.8 9 3 3.0 15.7 54.5 42.9 100.0 -1.83 74.5 68.2
Oliver Spence Oliver Spence F 4 10.2 4.0 3.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 1.8 2.0 4.8 5 3 1.7 5.9 62.5 0 75.0 -0.57 69.4 62.5
David Bumpass David Bumpass G 2 6.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 -0.5 1 2 0.5 3.3 42.9 0.0 50.0 -1.28 44.4 42.9
Darian Grant Darian Grant G 3 8.0 2.3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.0 2.0 26 2 13.0 53.4 33.3 66.7 50.0 0.18 50.9 50.0
Matar Wade Matar Wade F 4 6.5 1.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.2 1.2 5.0 25 3 8.3 49.3 60.0 0 33.3 0.38 55.4 60.0
Breon Barnett Breon Barnett G 3 4.7 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 2 2 1.0 6.5 33.3 50.0 50.0 -0.62 52.5 50.0
Manok Lual Manok Lual F 3 6.7 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.3 1.3 -1 2 -0.5 -2.9 28.6 0 0.0 -1.37 25.4 28.6
George Comer George Comer G 2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2 1 2.0 76.2 100.0 0 0 -0.03 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

266 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Edwards27% Traore17% Worrell67% Kwarteng100% Awoke29% Richard62% Richard33% Worrell14% Worrell67% Worrell58%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Worrell44% Kwarteng18% Kwarteng28% Worrell33% Lual22% Awoke67% Kwarteng50% Worrell29% Awoke43% Worrell27%
Misses: who misses most here

Alfred Worrell Jr.Keith RichardIbrahima TraoreJeremiah KwartengTrent EdwardsJohn AwokeManok Lual

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 33-42 78.6 66 Trent Edwards 27% (18 pts) Ibrahima Traore 21% (14 pts) Alfred Worrell Jr. 44% (4 misses) Ibrahima Traore 22% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 36-76 47.4 72 Ibrahima Traore 17% (12 pts) Keith Richard 14% (10 pts) Jeremiah Kwarteng 18% (7 misses) Ibrahima Traore 12% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 3-21 14.3 6 Alfred Worrell Jr. 67% (4 pts) Manok Lual 33% (2 pts) Jeremiah Kwarteng 28% (5 misses) John Awoke 11% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 1-7 14.3 2 Jeremiah Kwarteng 100% (2 pts) - Alfred Worrell Jr. 33% (2 misses) Jeremiah Kwarteng 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 7-16 43.8 14 John Awoke 29% (4 pts) Keith Richard 29% (4 pts) Manok Lual 22% (2 misses) Ibrahima Traore 11% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 8-11 72.7 24 Keith Richard 62% (15 pts) Alfred Worrell Jr. 25% (6 pts) John Awoke 67% (2 misses) Trent Edwards 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 6-10 60.0 18 Keith Richard 33% (6 pts) Alfred Worrell Jr. 17% (3 pts) Jeremiah Kwarteng 50% (2 misses) Alfred Worrell Jr. 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-31 22.6 21 Alfred Worrell Jr. 14% (3 pts) Breon Barnett 14% (3 pts) Alfred Worrell Jr. 29% (7 misses) Keith Richard 29% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-10 30.0 9 Alfred Worrell Jr. 67% (6 pts) Darian Grant 33% (3 pts) John Awoke 43% (3 misses) Khali Horton 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 12-42 28.6 36 Alfred Worrell Jr. 58% (21 pts) Keith Richard 33% (12 pts) Alfred Worrell Jr. 27% (8 misses) John Awoke 20% (6 misses)