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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% -
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Morgan State Bears +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. St Clair 32 4-14 0-4 3-4 2 3 3 0 2 11 3 -
D. Shepherd 27 3-9 1-3 3-3 3 3 0 0 2 10 5 +4.0
B. Saragba 26 3-4 0-0 3-3 4 0 2 0 2 9 9 -1.0
C. Obasogie 22 5-7 0-0 0-3 8 0 1 2 1 10 13 -1.1
K. Watson 21 3-10 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 -2 +5.0
Z. Bethea 20 2-6 2-4 3-4 6 2 0 0 0 9 11 +4.9
R. Moore 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 -1.1
C. Perkins 18 4-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 8 1 -1.1
M. Adamu 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +5.0
J. Clemmons 6 1-3 0-1 3-6 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
O. Stephen 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Davis 39 6-16 0-2 3-6 7 15 1 0 3 15 19 -5.2
A. Worrell Jr. 36 5-15 4-12 11-11 5 2 0 1 4 25 14 -4.2
R. Lawson 32 3-10 2-4 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 9 5 -4.0
C. Oliver 31 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 2 9 8 -
E. Alvin 23 8-10 1-3 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 19 14 -4.1
C. Meeks 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
W. Peggs Jr. 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 +1.9
D. Bumpass 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
M. Wade 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

* = starter