Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. St Clair | 32 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Shepherd | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +4.0 |
| B. Saragba | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -1.0 |
| C. Obasogie | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -1.1 |
| K. Watson | 21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | +5.0 |
| Z. Bethea | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +4.9 |
| R. Moore | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1.1 |
| C. Perkins | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -1.1 |
| M. Adamu | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 |
| J. Clemmons | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| O. Stephen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Davis | 39 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -5.2 |
| A. Worrell Jr. | 36 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 11-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 14 | -4.2 |
| R. Lawson | 32 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -4.0 |
| C. Oliver | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Alvin | 23 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -4.1 |
| C. Meeks | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| W. Peggs Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.9 |
| D. Bumpass | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Wade | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter