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2026-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Norfolk State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Davis 39 5-9 0-1 6-9 4 4 1 0 3 16 13 -3.9
A. Worrell Jr. 37 10-19 7-13 6-7 3 0 0 1 4 33 14 -3.8
R. Lawson 35 2-10 1-6 4-4 4 6 2 0 2 9 9 -5.6
M. Harris 32 2-6 0-0 2-2 14 0 2 6 1 6 21 -3.3
C. Meeks 29 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 0 1 5 7 -
E. Alvin 11 2-3 0-1 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -2.6
D. Bumpass 9 2-3 1-2 1-1 0 0 0 1 0 6 4 -1.0
W. Peggs Jr. 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.2
M. Lual 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McComb III 35 4-8 1-4 5-8 4 2 1 0 1 14 12 +6.4
D. Ellis 30 4-9 2-3 1-2 7 1 3 0 3 11 10 +0.3
E. Jamison 24 4-13 1-4 4-7 3 2 0 0 1 13 4 -1.5
J. Morris 21 11-12 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 1 23 18 +2.4
J. Leaks 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 0 3 -4.4
M. Jenkins 17 0-5 0-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 2 6 -0.2
A. Newton 16 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 -1 +5.5
D. Wright-Forde 14 3-11 0-3 2-3 6 2 2 0 0 8 7 +9.8
M. Baines 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -2.1
K. Lewis 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.9
Y. Deeng 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.1

* = starter