Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 39 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 37 | 10-19 | 7-13 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 14 | +7.0 |
| Rob Lawson | 35 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Marland Harris | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | +8.1 |
| Christian Meeks | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Eugene Alvin | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.5 |
| David Bumpass | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.4 |
| Manok Lual | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Devon Ellis | 30 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | -16.2 |
| Elijah Jamison | 24 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Jaquel Morris | 21 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | -8.1 |
| Jordan Leaks | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -17.0 |
| My'kel Jenkins | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Adrean Newton | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 14 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +14.5 |
| Melo Baines | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -10.9 |
| Keyontae Lewis | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +12.1 |
| Yel Deeng | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter