Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Davis | 39 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | -3.9 |
| A. Worrell Jr. | 37 | 10-19 | 7-13 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 14 | -3.8 |
| R. Lawson | 35 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -5.6 |
| M. Harris | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | -3.3 |
| C. Meeks | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Alvin | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.6 |
| D. Bumpass | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1.0 |
| W. Peggs Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.2 |
| M. Lual | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McComb III | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +6.4 |
| D. Ellis | 30 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +0.3 |
| E. Jamison | 24 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -1.5 |
| J. Morris | 21 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | +2.4 |
| J. Leaks | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.4 |
| M. Jenkins | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| A. Newton | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +5.5 |
| D. Wright-Forde | 14 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +9.8 |
| M. Baines | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| K. Lewis | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Y. Deeng | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter