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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Howard Bison Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 20.3% 79.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% -
Log Adjusted 1.2% 98.8% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Howard Bison -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Davis 40 6-20 0-0 4-6 3 7 2 1 5 16 4 -7.3
R. Lawson 39 8-16 3-5 5-7 4 1 0 0 2 24 11 -7.4
A. Worrell Jr. 31 4-16 3-10 12-12 1 2 1 0 3 23 8 -10.3
C. Meeks 26 1-4 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 3 6 -
M. Harris 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 3 3 3 7 -0.7
E. Alvin 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 -7.3
W. Peggs Jr. 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 +3.4
D. Bumpass 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -9.3
D. James 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Howard Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gillus 36 2-8 0-1 3-4 4 4 2 0 2 7 7 +7.2
C. Taylor III 34 8-20 1-5 12-13 6 2 2 2 1 29 20 +4.7
B. Harris 34 5-16 0-2 13-15 11 0 3 0 7 23 14 +6.6
O. Okojie 27 0-4 0-2 2-6 4 2 0 0 0 2 4 +4.2
A. Cotton 25 5-13 2-6 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 14 10 +1.1
T. Bryson 23 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 +8.1
C. Robins Jr. 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 4 -0.4
D. Kazakevicius 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -3 +1.0
I. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Powell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Holland III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.9

* = starter