Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Central Eagles | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore | 40 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Tekao Carpenter | 38 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Dionte Johnson | 36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Khouri Carvey | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Jae Slack | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Kelechi Okworogwo | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Justin Edwards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gbenga Olubi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khalil Arnold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Christian Meeks | 38 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 33 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 9-11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Rob Lawson | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Eugene Alvin | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Christian Oliver | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 13 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| David Bumpass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matar Wade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dallas James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter