Morgan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Morgan State Bears

Program History

Coach: Kevin Broadus

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

75.3

PPG

78.2

Opp

-3.0

Margin

42.4%

FG%

33.1%

3P%

74.2%

FT%

34.9

RPG

13.2

APG

12.6

71.0

Est. poss./game

68.6

Adj PPG

85.1

Adj Opp PPG

#354

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	733 (#316)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	816 (#321)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More →	1001 (#174)	HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More →	-17.9 (#354)	HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More →	-15.4 (#346)	HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.220 (#325)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.7 More →	0.220 (#325)	NetEff -11.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.1 More →	0.058 (#355)	AdjNet -24.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.6 More →	0.055 (#355)	AdjNet -24.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 \| AdjD 85.1 More →	0.183 (#354)	AdjO 68.6 \| AdjD 85.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 \| AdjD 80.5 More →	0.325 (#338)	AdjO 72.4 \| AdjD 80.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.194 (#336)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.219 (#332)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 \| GP 27 More →	842 (#294)	RD 141 \| GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	@	Georgetown Hoyas	L	70 - 87
2025-11-06	vs	Central Penn Knights	W	101 - 77
2025-11-11	vs	UMBC Retrievers	L	79 - 81
2025-11-15	@	Mercyhurst Lakers	L	72 - 86
2025-11-18	vs	North Carolina A&T Aggies	L	73 - 79
2025-11-21	@	Old Dominion Monarchs	L	56 - 88
2025-11-25	vs	Drexel Dragons	L	66 - 71
2025-12-06	vs	Longwood Lancers	L	80 - 84
2025-12-09	@	DePaul Blue Demons	L	49 - 92
2025-12-13	vs	Niagara Purple Eagles	W	81 - 73
2025-12-19	@	California Golden Bears	L	50 - 97
2025-12-21	@	San Francisco Dons	L	64 - 94
2025-12-23	@	Loyola Marymount Lions	L	56 - 83
2025-12-30	vs	Penn State Brandywine Lions	W	92 - 55
2026-01-03	@	Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks	L	49 - 66
2026-01-10	vs	South Carolina State Bulldogs	W	72 - 67
2026-01-12	vs	North Carolina Central Eagles	L	78 - 89
2026-01-17	@	Delaware State Hornets	W	80 - 79
2026-01-20	vs	Virginia Lynchburg Dragons	W	128 - 53
2026-01-24	@	Howard Bison	W	78 - 77
2026-01-26	@	Norfolk State Spartans	W	79 - 78
2026-01-31	@	Coppin State Eagles	W	89 - 80
2026-02-07	vs	Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks	W	79 - 71
2026-02-14	@	South Carolina State Bulldogs	-	Preview
2026-02-16	@	North Carolina Central Eagles	L	76 - 80
2026-02-21	vs	Delaware State Hornets	W	82 - 68
2026-02-25	@	South Carolina State Bulldogs	W	90 - 83
2026-02-28	vs	Howard Bison	L	59 - 84
2026-03-02	vs	Norfolk State Spartans	W	90 - 84
2026-03-05	vs	Coppin State Eagles	W	70 - 66
2026-03-11	vs	Delaware State Hornets	L	70 - 75

2026 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	30	28.5	17.4	3.8	1.1	0.9	0.2	2.0	12.7	8.8	-96	24	-4.0	-5.6	38.8	36.3	88.5	0.87	57.6	49.5
Elijah Davis	-	26	34.9	13.8	3.3	5.9	1.1	0.2	2.6	10.8	11.0	-147	21	-7.0	-8.2	45.0	21.7	72.5	-5.45	52.6	45.9
Rob Lawson	-	30	32.8	12.8	3.6	4.0	0.7	0.1	2.5	11.5	7.1	-161	24	-6.7	-8.3	36.1	29.3	81.7	-2.53	48.3	41.8
Walter Peggs Jr.	-	28	19.2	8.8	2.0	0.7	0.4	0.0	0.7	7.2	4.0	-119	22	-5.4	-11.2	39.1	36.7	81.6	-4.02	54.8	50.7
Eugene Alvin	-	29	19.3	7.3	3.6	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.8	5.7	6.0	-92	23	-4.0	-8.3	45.1	38.4	60.3	-1.36	55.7	53.7
Christian Meeks	-	30	28.6	5.9	5.8	0.8	0.7	0.3	1.0	3.8	8.7	-114	24	-4.8	-6.7	55.3	22.2	62.0	-1.76	59.5	56.1
Christian Oliver	-	26	14.3	4.3	3.0	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.5	3.2	4.6	-20	22	-0.9	-2.5	56.1	22.2	67.9	0.44	59.9	57.3
Marland Harris	-	20	12.9	3.9	3.8	0.3	0.2	1.5	0.8	2.6	6.2	-52	15	-3.5	-13.4	54.7	0	69.0	-3.55	59.3	54.7
Trent Edwards	-	2	17.0	3.5	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	3.5	3.0	-	-	-	-	42.9	0.0	33.3	1.61	42.1	42.9
David Bumpass	-	22	9.1	3.2	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.4	2.9	1.4	-48	17	-2.8	-13.1	37.5	16.7	59.4	-3.86	45.5	40.6
Manok Lual	-	20	7.7	1.8	0.8	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.5	1.4	1.2	-37	15	-2.5	-14.1	48.1	20.0	47.4	-1.59	50.9	50.0
Dallas James	-	21	6.4	1.6	1.5	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.2	1.4	-66	16	-4.1	-25.2	50.0	0	72.7	-3.92	55.1	50.0
Matar Wade	-	14	7.6	0.9	1.7	0.1	0.1	0.8	0.6	0.8	2.1	-14	10	-1.4	-7.7	45.5	0.0	100.0	-0.66	50.5	45.5
Jayden Socka	-	6	2.7	0.7	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	1.2	-	-	-	-	33.3	0	33.3	-1.0	35.5	33.3
Breon Barnett	-	14	3.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.2	-5	9	-0.6	-10.8	11.1	0.0	100.0	-1.56	20.2	11.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1769 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Alfred Worrell Jr.Rob LawsonElijah DavisWalter Peggs Jr.Eugene Alvin

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	173-272	63.6	346	Elijah Davis 24% (84 pts)	Christian Meeks 17% (60 pts)	Elijah Davis 25% (25 misses)	Christian Meeks 14% (14 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	250-534	46.8	500	Elijah Davis 26% (132 pts)	Christian Meeks 12% (62 pts)	Elijah Davis 30% (86 misses)	Rob Lawson 16% (45 misses)
Mid-range left	40-122	32.8	80	Rob Lawson 28% (22 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 22% (18 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 27% (22 misses)	Rob Lawson 23% (19 misses)
Mid-range center	24-72	33.3	48	Rob Lawson 38% (18 pts)	Elijah Davis 17% (8 pts)	Rob Lawson 31% (15 misses)	Elijah Davis 27% (13 misses)
Mid-range right	54-138	39.1	108	Rob Lawson 41% (44 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 22% (24 pts)	Rob Lawson 42% (35 misses)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 17% (14 misses)
Left corner 3	26-67	38.8	78	Eugene Alvin 31% (24 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 27% (21 pts)	Walter Peggs Jr. 29% (12 misses)	Rob Lawson 24% (10 misses)
Right corner 3	18-47	38.3	54	Alfred Worrell Jr. 56% (30 pts)	Rob Lawson 17% (9 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 31% (9 misses)	Walter Peggs Jr. 24% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left	65-207	31.4	195	Alfred Worrell Jr. 40% (78 pts)	Walter Peggs Jr. 29% (57 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 38% (54 misses)	Rob Lawson 19% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 center	39-113	34.5	117	Alfred Worrell Jr. 46% (54 pts)	Walter Peggs Jr. 23% (27 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 32% (24 misses)	Rob Lawson 26% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 right	61-197	31.0	183	Alfred Worrell Jr. 33% (60 pts)	Rob Lawson 25% (45 pts)	Alfred Worrell Jr. 35% (48 misses)	Rob Lawson 26% (36 misses)