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Morehead State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History
Coach: Jonathan Mattox

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

75.4
PPG
74.7
Opp
+0.7
Margin
46.4%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
36.4
RPG
13.5
APG
12.0
TO
79.4
Pace
69.5
AdjO
79.2
AdjD
#300
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1169 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 975 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1084 (#63) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -9.3 (#295) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +7.1 (#278) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.364 (#257) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.8 More → 0.698 (#112) NetEff +7.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.199 (#290) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.2 More → 0.197 (#290) AdjNet -12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.293 (#300) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 79.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 71.4 More → 0.549 (#183) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 71.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.702 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.682 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 31 More → 1128 (#108) RD 148 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Midway University Eagles W 89 - 84
2025-11-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 65 - 81
2025-11-09 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 81 - 120
2025-11-11 @ Clemson Tigers L 56 - 83
2025-11-16 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 121 - 51
2025-11-21 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 62 - 77
2025-11-22 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 83 - 80
2025-11-29 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 80 - 85
2025-12-02 @ Murray State Racers L 52 - 84
2025-12-16 vs Little Rock Trojans W 78 - 64
2025-12-20 @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 64 - 60
2025-12-28 vs Alice Lloyd College Eagles W 115 - 65
2026-01-01 @ Lindenwood Lions L 64 - 77
2026-01-03 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 73 - 72
2026-01-08 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 68 - 76
2026-01-10 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 71 - 69
2026-01-15 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 100 - 105
2026-01-22 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 71 - 66
2026-01-24 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 73 - 68
2026-01-29 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 67 - 65
2026-01-31 vs Lindenwood Lions L 78 - 79
2026-02-05 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 70 - 82
2026-02-07 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 61 - 55
2026-02-12 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 73 - 66
2026-02-14 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 94 - 86
2026-02-19 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 73 - 70
2026-02-21 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 81 - 59
2026-02-24 vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 64 - 63
2026-02-26 @ Little Rock Trojans W 76 - 70
2026-03-06 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 66 - 61
2026-03-07 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 67 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Marshall G. Marshall - 31 30.2 13.7 4.5 1.9 1.3 0.2 1.7 9.4 10.5 6 0.3 0.5 41.8 36.6 84.9 -0.35 59.5 51.4
Jon Carroll Jon Carroll - 31 25.3 11.7 8.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 1.3 7.2 13.5 64 2.8 5.8 59.8 0.0 71.4 0.32 64.2 59.8
D. Cunningham D. Cunningham - 31 26.9 11.4 4.0 1.8 0.9 0.3 1.9 9.4 7.1 42 1.9 3.4 41.2 29.0 74.0 -0.13 51.0 44.7
Chase Dawson Chase Dawson G 31 25.5 8.5 1.4 2.8 0.7 0.0 1.4 6.8 5.3 -25 -1.1 -2.1 41.9 34.6 78.9 -0.68 54.2 48.6
A. Mellouk A. Mellouk - 31 24.8 7.7 4.3 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.3 6.3 6.9 27 1.2 2.6 51.8 26.7 54.9 -0.48 54.7 53.8
J. LeGree J. LeGree G 31 17.1 7.1 1.7 3.4 0.8 0.2 1.8 5.7 5.7 61 2.7 7.3 43.5 36.0 80.0 -0.06 55.5 51.1
Tamaury Releford Tamaury Releford C 31 14.2 6.0 4.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 4.1 6.5 -1 -0.0 -0.1 65.1 0 57.9 -0.54 65.2 65.1
T. Farrell T. Farrell F 25 12.5 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.9 3.0 3.5 1 0.1 0.2 47.4 20.0 48.6 -0.17 50.3 49.3
Vince Dawson Iii Vince Dawson Iii - 31 16.3 3.6 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.3 3.0 48 2.1 7.3 38.6 36.8 75.0 -0.17 53.6 52.5
Clayton Parker Clayton Parker - 20 15.8 3.6 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 4.2 2.5 -24 -1.6 -4.3 32.1 17.6 75.0 -0.44 39.5 35.7
J. Winkleman J. Winkleman - 5 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.0 9 2.2 105.4 44.4 33.3 0 -0.01 55.6 55.6
J. Wilson J. Wilson G 2 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -10 -2.0 -40.9 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
K. Wright K. Wright G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jarvis Wright Jarvis Wright G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 76 3.3 5.4 - - - 0.25 - -
Jaden Priester Jaden Priester F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG