Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +26 (93-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mellouk | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Carroll | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| G. Marshall | 31 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Dawson | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. LeGree | 12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| V. Dawson III | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Releford | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Farrell | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Parker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Winkleman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris | 36 | 6-20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T. Harper II | 35 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Nkrumah | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ca. Williams | 29 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| A. Lorick III | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| J. Pitre | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Spikes | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Jones | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Brooks | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Garcia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Howard Jr. | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter