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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +26 (93-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mellouk 35 5-8 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 12 7 -
J. Carroll 31 2-3 0-0 3-4 10 0 1 0 2 7 13 -
G. Marshall 31 5-13 4-9 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 17 8 -
D. Cunningham 31 2-9 0-1 8-8 7 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
C. Dawson 27 2-9 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 5 -3 -
J. LeGree 12 2-7 1-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 5 1 -
V. Dawson III 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Releford 7 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
T. Farrell 7 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
C. Parker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Winkleman 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 36 6-20 4-8 0-0 11 4 3 0 4 16 10 -
T. Harper II 35 6-9 5-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 17 10 -
A. Nkrumah 31 4-10 3-6 3-4 2 6 1 0 2 14 11 -
Ca. Williams 29 7-11 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 16 8 -
A. Lorick III 24 6-9 0-1 6-7 5 1 1 2 0 18 18 -
J. Pitre 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 0 4 12 -
J. Spikes 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Jones 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Brooks 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Garcia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Howard Jr. 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter