Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 41 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | -3.6 |
| G. Marshall | 39 | 10-20 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 21 | -5.3 |
| D. Cunningham | 31 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -2.6 |
| C. Dawson | 29 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | -11.1 |
| A. Mellouk | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +7.4 |
| J. LeGree | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.2 |
| V. Dawson III | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -11.6 |
| T. Releford | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -2.9 |
| T. Farrell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.1 |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nkrumah | 41 | 12-20 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 20 | +3.2 |
| T. Harper II | 36 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +4.3 |
| D. Harris | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +0.2 |
| A. Lorick III | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 23 | -5.6 |
| Ca. Williams | 27 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | +10.5 |
| J. Pitre | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.2 |
| K. London | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +3.7 |
| K. Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.8 |
| J. Spikes | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter