Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. White | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Z. Fruster | 33 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | -7.6 |
| K. Jacobi | 32 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -4.5 |
| P. Turner | 26 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +0.7 |
| T. McMorris | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -2.6 |
| A. Washington | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | -2.0 |
| N. Fisher | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -7.0 |
| P. Johnson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.1 |
| M. Olafioye | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4.3 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Marshall | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +5.4 |
| A. Mellouk | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | +6.5 |
| D. Cunningham | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -2.7 |
| C. Dawson | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +4.0 |
| T. Releford | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -2.3 |
| J. Carroll | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +4.7 |
| V. Dawson III | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.8 |
| J. LeGree | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1.7 |
| T. Farrell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
* = starter