Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +8 (94-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nkrumah | 36 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Harris | 36 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Harper II | 34 | 8-18 | 5-9 | 9-11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 14 | - |
| A. Lorick III | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Pitre | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| K. Jones | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Ca. Williams | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Spikes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Howard Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Brooks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mellouk | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Carroll | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| G. Marshall | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. LeGree | 26 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| C. Dawson | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| V. Dawson III | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Releford | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Farrell | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter