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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 47.7% 52.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Cunningham 30 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 8 3 -
C. Dawson 30 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 3 10 9 -
G. Marshall 30 3-8 1-1 2-2 4 0 2 1 0 9 8 -
V. Dawson III 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
A. Mellouk 23 2-5 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 3 6 -1 -
J. Carroll 19 6-10 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 3 15 11 -
T. Releford 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
J. LeGree 13 1-4 0-3 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Farrell 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 5 4 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
BJ Ward 34 7-13 3-5 4-4 2 4 1 0 1 21 14 -
B. Stacker 32 7-13 2-5 1-2 10 0 1 2 1 17 16 -
L. Almodovar 29 4-9 2-4 3-5 1 0 1 1 3 13 4 -
L. Blocker 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
B. Terry 21 5-7 0-1 3-4 3 3 0 0 3 13 9 -
D. Idada 15 2-4 0-0 2-5 7 1 0 2 0 6 12 -
P. Farmer 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 5 5 -
B. Sagna 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Bell 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Cole Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
E. Lowndes 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter