Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | -1.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stacker | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -5.4 |
| L. Blocker | 29 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +5.2 |
| M. Bell | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -4.5 |
| BJ Ward | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +6.6 |
| L. Almodovar | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +6.7 |
| B. Terry | 23 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +2.5 |
| T. Cole Jr. | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7.2 |
| P. Farmer | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12.3 |
| D. Idada | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| E. Lowndes | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cunningham | 31 | 13-17 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 21 | +11.4 |
| A. Mellouk | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11.5 |
| G. Marshall | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -6.5 |
| C. Dawson | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +8.9 |
| J. Carroll | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +10.5 |
| T. Releford | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
| V. Dawson III | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +6.2 |
| J. LeGree | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -6.9 |
| T. Farrell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
* = starter