Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dawson | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Marshall | 32 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| J. Carroll | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 26 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Mellouk | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| V. Dawson III | 16 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Releford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Parker | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Farrell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. LeGree | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Fruster | 39 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Jacobi | 35 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. McMorris | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Fisher | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. White | 30 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| P. Turner | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Blackwell | 11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| P. Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter