Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lorenzen | 37 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 16 | +4.3 |
| I. Griffin | 36 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -4.5 |
| G. Biliew | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| M. Kvamme | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -0.5 |
| K. Dixon | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +13.2 |
| F. Okwuosah | 19 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | -14.7 |
| T. Cook | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
| I. Peter | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Danny Stephens | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.6 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Marshall | 32 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -1.3 |
| D. Cunningham | 28 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +7.1 |
| J. Carroll | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +6.0 |
| A. Mellouk | 23 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -11.0 |
| C. Dawson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -2.8 |
| T. Releford | 19 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -6.7 |
| V. Dawson III | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +8.8 |
| J. LeGree | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +5.9 |
| T. Farrell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7.9 |
* = starter