Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | -1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Almodovar | 35 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Stacker | 28 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 2 | - |
| L. Blocker | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| BJ Ward | 26 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Bell | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Terry | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Idada | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Cole Jr. | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Lowndes | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Sagna | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Farmer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Marshall | 38 | 3-14 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Mellouk | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| C. Dawson | 36 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Carroll | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| V. Dawson III | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Releford | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Parker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Farrell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. LeGree | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter