Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -6 (55-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Dawson III | 35 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| G. Marshall | 35 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Dawson | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Mellouk | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. LeGree | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Carroll | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Releford | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Farrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Deniusas | 36 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| F. Radaković | 34 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Bukumirović | 33 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| F. Petkovski | 30 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. King | 21 | 4-10 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| V. Khryapa | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Santos | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Trnka | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Hopkins | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Niang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter