Little Rock Trojans
2026 Team Stats (31 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 834 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 926 (#230) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 952 (#243) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -6.8 (#243) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.5 (#276) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.292 (#245) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.292 (#245) | NetEff -6.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.275 (#233) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.270 (#232) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.356 (#247) | AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.390 (#249) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.330 (#247) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.337 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 931 (#220) | RD 155 | GP 29 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Holman
|
G | 31 | 32.7 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 12.2 | 29 | 28 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 29.0 | 80.7 | 2.54 | 52.3 | 45.6 |
Brenna Burk
|
G | 31 | 29.1 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 4 | 28 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 34.5 | 84.1 | 0.38 | 49.3 | 44.0 |
Destinee Salgado
|
F | 31 | 22.3 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 4.4 | -62 | 28 | -2.2 | -4.1 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | -4.77 | 42.7 | 40.0 |
Mya Cotto
|
G | 31 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 2.5 | -44 | 27 | -1.6 | -2.4 | 32.2 | 25.5 | 64.8 | -1.83 | 41.2 | 37.4 |
Rakiya Nelson
|
F | 1 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 50.9 | 50.0 |
Alaina Payne
|
G | 31 | 31.3 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 8.5 | 26 | 28 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 39.6 | 19.2 | 75.0 | 2.77 | 47.2 | 40.9 |
Aaliyah Taylor
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 86.8 | 100.0 |
Lidia Belmonte Hurtado
|
F | 26 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | -38 | 22 | -1.7 | -9.6 | 49.0 | 53.3 | 66.7 | -1.35 | 58.5 | 57.1 |
Taelor Coxford
|
F | 25 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | -20 | 24 | -0.8 | -3.3 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 53.3 | -2.96 | 37.2 | 35.1 |
Jarahle Daniels
|
G | 29 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | -9 | 27 | -0.3 | -1.6 | 30.4 | 19.0 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 45.2 | 33.9 |
Pearson McVay
|
F | 31 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 23 | 27 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 32.1 | 0 | 90.0 | 0.29 | 35.7 | 32.1 |
Naomi Smitherman
|
F | 22 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | -26 | 18 | -1.4 | -6.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.9 | 34.9 | 33.3 |
Blessing Teamer
|
F | 30 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | -41 | 26 | -1.6 | -6.0 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 26.7 | -0.74 | 44.0 | 45.8 |
Ashley Lester
|
G | 22 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | -68 | 19 | -3.6 | -19.0 | 23.4 | 18.2 | 0.0 | -7.46 | 27.2 | 27.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1822 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jordan HolmanBrenna BurkDestinee SalgadoMya CottoLidia Belmonte Hurtado
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 225-368 | 61.1 | 450 | Jordan Holman 28% (126 pts) | Destinee Salgado 20% (88 pts) | Jordan Holman 27% (38 misses) | Alaina Payne 16% (23 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 210-595 | 35.3 | 420 | Jordan Holman 28% (116 pts) | Destinee Salgado 16% (68 pts) | Jordan Holman 21% (80 misses) | Destinee Salgado 20% (76 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 34-134 | 25.4 | 68 | Destinee Salgado 21% (14 pts) | Jordan Holman 21% (14 pts) | Destinee Salgado 19% (19 misses) | Jordan Holman 17% (17 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 17-74 | 23.0 | 34 | Destinee Salgado 29% (10 pts) | Brenna Burk 18% (6 pts) | Destinee Salgado 33% (19 misses) | Jordan Holman 28% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 52-155 | 33.5 | 104 | Destinee Salgado 27% (28 pts) | Jordan Holman 21% (22 pts) | Destinee Salgado 18% (19 misses) | Pearson McVay 16% (16 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 15-36 | 41.7 | 45 | Brenna Burk 40% (18 pts) | Ashley Lester 13% (6 pts) | Brenna Burk 38% (8 misses) | Mya Cotto 24% (5 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 11-22 | 50.0 | 33 | Lidia Belmonte Hurtado 45% (15 pts) | Brenna Burk 36% (12 pts) | Mya Cotto 45% (5 misses) | Brenna Burk 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 29-152 | 19.1 | 87 | Jordan Holman 41% (36 pts) | Brenna Burk 34% (30 pts) | Jordan Holman 42% (52 misses) | Brenna Burk 25% (31 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 31-91 | 34.1 | 93 | Jordan Holman 48% (45 pts) | Mya Cotto 32% (30 pts) | Jordan Holman 35% (21 misses) | Mya Cotto 28% (17 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 54-195 | 27.7 | 162 | Brenna Burk 44% (72 pts) | Jordan Holman 28% (45 pts) | Brenna Burk 30% (43 misses) | Jordan Holman 26% (36 misses) |