Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | +4.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -2 (62-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cori Allen * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Chae Harris * | 26 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Kennedi Alexander * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Jordan Hunter * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Tamya Smith * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Daejah Richmond | 30 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Paris Gaines | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Bailey Gilmore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.5 |
| Amauri Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1.8 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaina Payne * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Jordan Holman * | 30 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | -15.8 |
| Taelor Coxford * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Brenna Burk * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Destinee Salgado * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Pearson McVay | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Mya Cotto | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5.7 |
| Blessing Teamer | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +14.1 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Ashley Lester | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter