Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Lindenwood Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lindenwood Lions +28 (71-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Payne | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -12.3 |
| J. Holman | 26 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | -7.0 |
| M. Cotto | 24 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +0.6 |
| B. Burk | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -13.8 |
| D. Salgado | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -7.5 |
| B. Teamer | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -12.9 |
| P. McVay | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.1 |
| A. Lester | 12 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -12.7 |
| T. Coxford | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -19.0 |
| J. Daniels | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -11.0 |
| N. Smitherman | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.9 |
| L. Belmonte Hurtado | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
Lindenwood Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Skoff | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +21.3 |
| B. Coffey | 30 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +9.3 |
| A. Jones | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +30.2 |
| G. Kelsey | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +24.2 |
| E. Brueggemann | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +27.6 |
| A. Nielsen | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +17.6 |
| V. Norwood | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -1.5 |
| A. McCarn | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.9 |
| N. Garcia | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.1 |
| J. Nikolic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Mantziori | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
* = starter