Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | +5.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars -3 (45-48). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Holman * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Alaina Payne * | 36 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Mya Cotto * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Brenna Burk * | 30 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Destinee Salgado * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -2 | -8.2 |
| Pearson McVay | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Blessing Teamer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Taelor Coxford | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +3.7 |
| Ashley Lester | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Miller * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Macy Silvey * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +18.7 |
| Kiyoko Proctor * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Adebukola Akomolafe * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Syanne Mohamed * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -8.9 |
| Adriana Blazquez | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | -4.5 |
| Ava Gugliuzza | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.7 |
| Rory Conboy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.4 |
| Kendal George | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.9 |
| Emiyah Cobb | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.8 |
| Jaiden Bryant | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Sy'Rae Stemmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
* = starter