Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +17 (57-40). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Holman * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | -5.7 |
| Alaina Payne * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Destinee Salgado * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -19.5 |
| Brenna Burk * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5 | -21.4 |
| Pearson McVay * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -9.0 |
| Mya Cotto | 23 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Taelor Coxford | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -6.2 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +3.1 |
| Ashley Lester | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Blessing Teamer | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Saunders * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +21.0 |
| Chl. Gannon * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +13.9 |
| Sophia Loden * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Shannon Blacher * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +17.1 |
| Amiyah Buchanan * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +20.7 |
| Cha. Gannon | 18 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Lexi Sepulveda | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Maddy Fay | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Kylee Dennis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Sarang West | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| Alli Robertson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Lily Graves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
* = starter