Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.7% | 30.3% | -12.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -8.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +9 (57-48). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Stephens * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Paris Santacaterina * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shae Littleford * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Cheyanne Kemp * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Julianna Gibson * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Linda Amaning | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -9.8 |
| Laylah Reese | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jenna Cook | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Emerie Bohanon | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mya Cotto * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Brenna Burk * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Alaina Payne * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Holman * | 29 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Destinee Salgado * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jarahle Daniels | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Pearson McVay | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Blessing Teamer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Naomi Smitherman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ashley Lester | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter