Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Sepp | 38 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Laura Toffali | 37 | 11-21 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 22 | +4.6 |
| Kateryna Dike | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12 | -0.6 |
| Violet McNece | 31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -6.4 |
| Landon Forbes | 29 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +11.5 |
| Josefine Enander | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Anja Ekstrom | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Millie Pearson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Circe Rubio Remolar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Holman | 40 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 12-14 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | +5.3 |
| Mya Cotto | 36 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Alaina Payne | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | +6.8 |
| Brenna Burk | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Destinee Salgado | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Blessing Teamer | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Taelor Coxford | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Pearson McVay | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter