Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +39 (96-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaina Payne | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Jordan Holman | 25 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -2 | -2.3 |
| Destinee Salgado | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Brenna Burk | 21 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Mya Cotto | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -9.3 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -10.1 |
| Ashley Lester | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -15.9 |
| Taelor Coxford | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Blessing Teamer | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -15.4 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Pearson McVay | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.2 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnie Deas | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21 | +14.1 |
| Taleyah Jones | 28 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | +8.7 |
| Jenna Lawrence | 23 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Emily Robinson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Wyvette Mayberry | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Jada Bates | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Harmonie Ware | 14 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | +4.8 |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 13 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Ashlynn Chlarson | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +4.6 |
| C. Sanchez Cerqueira | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +6.3 |
| Maryn Archer | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Danika Galea | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -4.3 |
* = starter