Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -13 (63-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenna Burk | 39 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Jordan Holman | 36 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 20 | +16.5 |
| Mya Cotto | 34 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Alaina Payne | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Taelor Coxford | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +15.8 |
| Destinee Salgado | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -4.5 |
| Pearson McVay | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +6.9 |
| Ashley Lester | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Blessing Teamer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.9 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Toffali | 39 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -9.8 |
| Landon Forbes | 37 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -14.7 |
| Marie Sepp | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Josefine Enander | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -14.6 |
| Kateryna Dike | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -3.6 |
| Violet McNece | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Anja Ekstrom | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -14.5 |
| Circe Rubio Remolar | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -7.2 |
| Irene Fernandez Pavesio | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
* = starter