Model Predictions
| Model | Lindenwood Lions | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.5% | 12.5% | -10.7 | ✓ (27.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -38 (54-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lindenwood Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brueggemann | 27 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +31.4 |
| A. Jones | 27 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +30.6 |
| M. Skoff | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +19.1 |
| A. Nielsen | 26 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +25.7 |
| B. Coffey | 25 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 21 | +19.6 |
| V. Norwood | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +13.4 |
| G. Kelsey | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +14.4 |
| K. Mantziori | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +16.5 |
| A. McCarn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +8.6 |
| J. Nikolic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holman | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -25.1 |
| B. Burk | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -23.4 |
| J. Daniels | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | -16.6 |
| M. Cotto | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | -21.9 |
| B. Teamer | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -10.9 |
| A. Payne | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -17.9 |
| D. Salgado | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -19.5 |
| P. McVay | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.9 |
| T. Coxford | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8.6 |
| L. Belmonte Hurtado | 12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -1.9 |
| A. Lester | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -6.0 |
* = starter