Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +10 (67-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenna Burk * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Alaina Payne * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Mya Cotto * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Holman * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Destinee Salgado * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ashley Lester | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jarahle Daniels | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Taelor Coxford | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Pearson McVay | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Naomi Smitherman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Blessing Teamer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Taylor * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Da'Kariya Jackson * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kearra Jones * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Raissa Nsabua * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Madison Ayers * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lexi McCully | 29 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Charmen Taylor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ainaya Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aa'Mya Stacker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zoey Rixter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter