Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +8 (55-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Desroches | 36 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | -3.4 |
| Tiny Lewis | 36 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Clara Glad | 33 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | +2.1 |
| Ava Stoller | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Meioshe Mason | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Kennedy Davis | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Nyah Hardy | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Alanna Phillipo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Ella Lune | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Adriana Arroyo | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.0 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Holman | 39 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Alaina Payne | 39 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +6.1 |
| Brenna Burk | 36 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Mya Cotto | 35 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Destinee Salgado | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Taelor Coxford | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Ashley Lester | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Pearson McVay | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter