Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaina Payne | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | +15.8 |
| Jordan Holman | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 14-16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 16 | -0.6 |
| Mya Cotto | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Brenna Burk | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +6.1 |
| Blessing Teamer | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -1.4 |
| Destinee Salgado | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Taelor Coxford | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Pearson McVay | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Ashley Lester | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wynter Rogers | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +10.5 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 23 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | +13.7 |
| Zyion Shannon | 22 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Marlie Dickerson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +9.6 |
| Bella Weary | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -6.9 |
| Crislyn Rose | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Mimi McCollister | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -3.8 |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -7.8 |
| Mia Tarver | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -21.4 |
| Yves Cox | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Allyson Ferguson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
* = starter