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Duke

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2019 Team Stats (31 games)

81.9
PPG
66.6
Opp
+15.3
Margin
47.5%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
41.5
RPG
15.8
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
86.2
Adj PPG
62.4
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1430 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1194 (#6) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +25.3 (#2) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +18.8 (#11) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.908 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.6 More → 0.984 (#3) AdjNet +35.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.2 More → 0.985 (#3) AdjNet +36.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.2 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.897 (#2) AdjO 86.2 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.765 (#10) AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.926 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.912 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 38 More → 1434 (#3) RD 92 | GP 38

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 118 - 84
2018-11-11 vs Army Black Knights W 94 - 72
2018-11-14 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 84 - 46
2018-11-19 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 90 - 64
2018-11-20 vs Auburn Tigers W 78 - 72
2018-11-21 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 87 - 89
2018-11-27 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 90 - 69
2018-12-01 vs Stetson Hatters W 113 - 49
2018-12-05 vs Hartford Hawks W 84 - 54
2018-12-08 vs Yale Bulldogs W 91 - 58
2018-12-18 vs Princeton Tigers W 101 - 50
2018-12-20 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 69 - 58
2019-01-05 vs Clemson Tigers W 87 - 68
2019-01-08 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 87 - 65
2019-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles W 80 - 78
2019-01-14 vs Syracuse Orange L 91 - 95
2019-01-19 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 72 - 70
2019-01-22 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 64
2019-01-26 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 66 - 53
2019-01-28 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 83 - 61
2019-02-02 vs St. John's Red Storm W 91 - 61
2019-02-05 vs Boston College Eagles W 80 - 55
2019-02-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 81 - 71
2019-02-12 @ Louisville Cardinals W 71 - 69
2019-02-16 vs NC State Wolfpack W 94 - 78
2019-02-20 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 72 - 88
2019-02-23 @ Syracuse Orange W 75 - 65
2019-02-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 72 - 77
2019-03-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 87 - 57
2019-03-05 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 71 - 70
2019-03-09 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 79
2019-03-14 vs Syracuse Orange W 84 - 72
2019-03-15 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 74 - 73
2019-03-16 vs Florida State Seminoles W 73 - 63
2019-03-22 vs North Dakota State Bison W 85 - 62
2019-03-24 vs UCF Knights W 77 - 76
2019-03-29 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 75 - 73
2019-03-31 vs Michigan State Spartans L 67 - 68

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zion Williamson Zion Williamson - 31 30.2 22.7 8.9 2.1 2.2 1.8 2.4 12.8 22.6 384 28 13.7 18.5 68.8 33.8 62.6 5.38 73.9 71.7
R.J. Barrett R.J. Barrett - 36 35.3 22.5 7.6 4.3 0.9 0.4 3.2 17.5 15.0 417 31 13.5 15.7 46.0 30.7 67.8 5.21 56.1 51.3
Cam Reddish Cam Reddish - 34 30.0 13.1 3.7 2.0 1.5 0.6 2.8 11.7 6.4 296 29 10.2 14.0 35.3 32.7 73.7 1.44 50.3 45.4
Tre Jones Tre Jones - 34 34.1 9.5 3.7 5.3 1.9 0.2 1.5 8.6 10.5 372 29 12.8 15.4 41.1 25.5 76.9 3.76 51.1 45.4
Marques Bolden Marques Bolden - 33 18.6 5.1 4.3 0.4 0.6 1.5 0.7 3.1 8.1 168 28 6.0 12.6 55.9 0.0 75.8 -0.39 64.6 55.9
Alex O'Connell Alex O'Connell - 34 14.4 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.2 36 29 1.2 3.6 44.8 36.0 76.0 -2.7 59.1 56.5
Javin DeLaurier Javin DeLaurier F 36 16.6 4.0 4.5 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.8 2.1 8.2 178 31 5.7 14.4 74.0 0.0 54.5 0.59 74.7 74.0
Jack White Jack White - 33 20.1 3.9 4.5 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.7 3.6 6.5 187 28 6.7 14.3 34.7 27.3 90.9 1.75 50.5 44.9
Antonio Vrankovic Antonio Vrankovic C 16 5.2 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.4 18 14 1.3 10.3 46.2 0 50.0 0.04 49.6 46.2
Justin Robinson Justin Robinson F 16 3.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 -7 14 -0.5 -6.4 61.5 44.4 0.0 -3.14 74.4 76.9
Brennan Besser Brennan Besser G 4 3.0 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.2 - - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 0.63 29.1 16.7
Jordan Goldwire Jordan Goldwire G 33 8.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 75 27 2.8 12.5 27.9 12.5 50.0 1.08 32.9 31.4
Joey Baker Joey Baker - 4 4.5 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.5 - - - - 25.0 50.0 0 -1.58 37.5 37.5
Mike Buckmire Mike Buckmire G 4 3.2 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 0.89 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG