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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2019 Team Stats (31 games)

81.9
PPG
66.6
Opp
+15.1
Margin
47.5%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
41.5
RPG
15.8
APG
13.3
TO
85.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1723 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1612 (#3) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +44.6 (#3) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.859 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.4 More → 0.826 (#3) NetEff +13.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.1 More → 0.948 (#5) AdjNet +25.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.3 More → 0.949 (#4) AdjNet +25.3

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-11 vs Army Black Knights W 94 - 72
2018-11-14 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 84 - 46
2018-11-19 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 90 - 64
2018-11-27 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 90 - 69
2018-12-01 vs Stetson Hatters W 113 - 49
2018-12-05 vs Hartford Hawks W 84 - 54
2018-12-08 vs Yale Bulldogs W 91 - 58
2018-12-18 vs Princeton Tigers W 101 - 50
2018-12-20 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 69 - 58
2019-01-05 vs Clemson Tigers W 87 - 68
2019-01-08 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 87 - 65
2019-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles W 80 - 78
2019-01-14 vs Syracuse Orange L 91 - 95
2019-01-19 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 72 - 70
2019-01-22 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 64
2019-01-26 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 66 - 53
2019-01-28 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 83 - 61
2019-02-02 vs St. John's Red Storm W 91 - 61
2019-02-05 vs Boston College Eagles W 80 - 55
2019-02-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 81 - 71
2019-02-12 @ Louisville Cardinals W 71 - 69
2019-02-16 vs NC State Wolfpack W 94 - 78
2019-02-20 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 72 - 88
2019-02-23 @ Syracuse Orange W 75 - 65
2019-02-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 72 - 77
2019-03-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 87 - 57
2019-03-05 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 71 - 70
2019-03-09 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 79
2019-03-14 vs Syracuse Orange W 84 - 72
2019-03-15 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 74 - 73
2019-03-16 vs Florida State Seminoles W 73 - 63
2019-03-22 vs North Dakota State Bison W 85 - 62
2019-03-24 vs UCF Knights W 77 - 76
2019-03-29 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 75 - 73
2019-03-31 vs Michigan State Spartans L 67 - 68

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Z. Williamson Z. Williamson - 30 30.0 22.8 8.9 2.1 2.2 1.7 2.4 13.2 22.1 - - - 68.8 33.8 62.6 -0.02 71.6 71.7
R. Barrett R. Barrett - 35 35.2 22.5 7.7 4.4 0.9 0.4 3.3 18.0 14.5 - - - 46.0 30.7 67.8 - 54.5 51.3
C. Bosh C. Bosh - 33 30.1 13.2 3.8 2.0 1.5 0.6 2.7 12.1 6.3 - - - 35.3 32.7 73.7 - 49.1 45.4
Tre Jones Tre Jones - 33 34.0 9.2 3.7 5.3 1.9 0.2 1.5 8.8 10.1 22 1.8 2.5 41.1 25.5 76.9 0.95 48.4 45.4
M. Bolden M. Bolden - 32 18.8 5.0 4.3 0.4 0.6 1.6 0.8 3.2 8.0 - - - 55.9 0.0 75.8 - 62.3 55.9
A. O'Connell A. O'Connell - 33 14.8 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.3 - - - 44.8 36.0 76.0 - 59.1 56.5
J. DeLaurier J. DeLaurier F 35 16.6 3.9 4.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.8 2.2 8.1 - - - 74.0 0.0 54.5 - 71.6 74.0
J. White J. White - 32 19.9 3.9 4.5 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.7 3.7 6.4 27 3.9 9.8 34.7 27.3 90.9 0.72 49.3 44.9
A. Vrankovic A. Vrankovic C 16 5.2 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.4 - - - 46.2 0 50.0 - 49.6 46.2
J. Robinson J. Robinson F 16 3.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 9 1.0 2.3 61.5 44.4 0.0 0.45 74.4 76.9
B. Besser B. Besser G 4 3.0 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.2 - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
J. Goldwire J. Goldwire G 32 9.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.4 - - - 27.9 12.5 50.0 - 32.9 31.4
J. Baker J. Baker - 4 4.5 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.5 -44 -4.0 -5.7 25.0 50.0 0 0.64 37.5 37.5
M. Buckmire M. Buckmire G 4 3.2 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG