Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.8% | 15.2% | -9.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 40 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 37 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Reddish * | 35 | 7-19 | 4-14 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Z. Williamson * | 32 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| J. White | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 36 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Fore * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Williams * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| R. McMahon | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Enoch | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Perry | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
* = starter