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2019-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 80.2% 19.8% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 77.8% 22.2% -6.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Log Adjusted 75.0% 25.0% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones * 40 3-9 1-4 2-2 6 5 0 0 3 9 8 -
RJ Barrett * 36 8-15 1-6 4-7 4 5 0 0 1 21 14 -
C. Reddish * 35 6-13 3-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 5 17 6 -
J. DeLaurier * 26 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 3 1 1 7 -
A. O'Connell * 20 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
M. Bolden 25 4-5 0-0 6-6 2 0 0 1 0 14 12 -
J. White 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
J. Baker 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Goldwire 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Blackshear Jr. * 40 7-11 0-2 9-11 10 0 0 0 2 23 20 -
N. Alexander-Walker * 40 3-10 1-5 6-8 5 6 4 1 1 13 18 -
A. Hill * 37 5-10 2-6 5-6 4 3 0 0 0 17 14 -
W. Bede * 32 2-7 2-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
T. Outlaw * 28 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
I. Wilkins 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
P.J. Horne 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Kabongo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter