Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 36 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Alex O'Connell * | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jack White | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joey Baker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear Jr. * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| N. Alexander-Walker * | 40 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| A. Hill * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| W. Bede * | 32 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Outlaw * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Horne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Kabongo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter