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2018-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 19.1% 80.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% -
Log Adjusted 1.2% 98.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Mcroberts 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
R. Langford * 35 3-15 0-4 7-10 6 3 1 2 2 13 8 -
Al Durham * 27 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 9 2 -
J. Morgan * 24 4-8 0-1 0-1 4 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
J. Smith * 21 2-6 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 0 5 6 -1 -
R. Phinisee * 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 2 0 -
D. Green 20 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 4 1 -
E. Fitzner 17 4-6 3-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 12 11 -
Z. McRoberts 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
D. Davis 15 3-6 0-0 4-8 4 0 0 1 0 10 9 -
D. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Forrester 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones * 32 6-10 0-2 3-3 5 8 2 0 0 15 20 -
Z. Williamson * 29 11-15 0-2 3-6 6 4 2 2 2 25 22 -
R. Barrett * 27 9-18 2-4 2-3 9 1 1 2 5 22 12 -
M. Bolden * 23 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 2 2 3 1 0 9 -
C. Reddish * 22 4-12 3-7 2-7 2 1 0 1 4 13 1 -
J. White 30 2-5 2-5 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 8 10 -
J. DeLaurier 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 2 6 -
A. O'Connell 11 0-2 0-0 5-6 1 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Goldwire 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Vrankovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter