Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (94-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| W. Walker * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hellems | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Daniels | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 36 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 30 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Jack White | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter