Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 39 | 6-23 | 3-12 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 38 | 10-27 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Alex O'Connell * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack White | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams * | 39 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Coby White * | 36 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 33 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Nassir Little | 18 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter