Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Reddish * | 39 | 6-23 | 3-12 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 38 | 10-27 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | - |
| A. O'Connell * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. White | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 39 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. White * | 36 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| L. Maye * | 33 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| N. Little | 18 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Platek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Woods | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter