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2019-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 83.0% 17.0% -
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% -
Margin 84.7% 15.3% -9.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 74.0% 26.0% -
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Log Adjusted 92.8% 7.2% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Reddish * 38 4-16 3-10 4-4 6 4 2 0 3 15 8 -
RJ Barrett * 37 10-24 3-7 3-4 5 3 2 0 4 26 8 -
J. White * 35 1-2 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 4 7 -
Z. Williamson * 33 11-13 1-3 2-4 7 7 2 1 2 25 27 -
M. Bolden * 30 2-5 0-0 3-4 9 0 1 4 0 7 16 -
J. Goldwire 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
J. DeLaurier 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
A. O'Connell 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Johnson * 34 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 5 8 4 -
T. McGowens * 32 7-14 0-4 0-1 2 1 2 0 1 14 4 -
A. Toney * 30 2-13 1-4 4-5 4 1 0 0 2 9 -1 -
T. Brown * 25 3-5 0-2 6-6 6 0 0 2 1 12 14 -
M. Ellison * 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
S. N'Dir 28 2-3 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 0 7 9 -
J. Wilson-Frame 26 4-8 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
K. Chukwuka 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter