Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 3-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 35 | 13-19 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jack White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Coby White * | 38 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nassir Little | 20 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter