Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 3-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. Jones * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Z. Williamson * | 35 | 13-19 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| C. Reddish * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. DeLaurier * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Vrankovic | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. White * | 38 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| L. Maye * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Little | 20 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Robinson | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Woods | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter