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2018-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +17.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +33 (91-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bruner * 29 3-7 1-3 0-0 8 3 2 1 3 7 11 -
A. Copeland * 26 5-12 1-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 5 12 0 -
M. Oni * 25 3-8 0-1 6-6 9 5 0 1 5 12 14 -
B. Reynolds * 24 5-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
T. Phills * 22 2-8 0-3 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 4 -1 -
A. Swain 20 2-10 1-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 5 -4 -
P. Atkinson 19 3-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
J. Gabbidon 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Williams 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cotton 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Kelly 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Ryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Yess 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Barrett * 36 9-19 3-9 9-12 7 6 1 1 3 30 23 -
Z. Williamson * 26 7-11 0-1 6-10 8 4 2 1 3 20 21 -
T. Jones * 26 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 1 6 5 -
C. Reddish * 25 4-12 0-5 2-3 3 3 4 0 2 10 6 -
J. DeLaurier * 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 10 -
J. White 25 3-5 1-2 2-4 12 1 3 2 1 9 21 -
A. O'Connell 19 2-5 1-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
M. Bolden 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 2 2 -
J. Goldwire 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Vrankovic 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter