Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -26 (64-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barrett * | 26 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Jones * | 23 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Reddish * | 21 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Z. Williamson * | 18 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. White | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Vrankovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Robinson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Buckmire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Besser | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Narain | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Mensah | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Seiko | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Arop | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ed Chang | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mensah | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Sohikish | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter