Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +30 (91-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Figueroa * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| S. Ponds * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Heron * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| J. Simon * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Clark II * | 24 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Keita | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Trimble Jr. | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| G. Williams Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 3-8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 13-17 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Marques Bolden * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack White | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter