Arkansas State Red Wolves
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
76.1
PPG
66.7
Opp
+9.4
Margin
38.5%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
37.5
RPG
14.7
APG
17.2
TO
94.1
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1111 (#54) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +24.8 (#63) | HCA +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.753 (#37) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 59.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.902 (#69) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.886 (#66) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1231 (#55) | RD 99 | GP 32 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. Shannon
|
G | 32 | 23.9 | 12.6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 12.2 | 5.8 | 96 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 35.3 | 25.6 | 76.8 | 3.1 | 46.4 | 41.8 |
C. Rose
|
G | 32 | 25.1 | 11.3 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 10.4 | 7.1 | 74 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 41.1 | 29.7 | 83.3 | 1.4 | 49.5 | 45.2 |
M. Tarver
|
G | 32 | 21.5 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 90 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 37.4 | 33.1 | 60.0 | -0.67 | 51.7 | 51.6 |
B. Weary
|
G | 32 | 17.2 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 53 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 43.2 | 31.9 | 77.0 | -1.49 | 54.4 | 49.0 |
D. Allen
|
G | 31 | 15.9 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 74 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 32.1 | 28.6 | 85.7 | 2.64 | 48.3 | 42.9 |
M. McCollister
|
G | 30 | 18.9 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 81 | 3.7 | 9.1 | 35.0 | 32.0 | 76.7 | 1.07 | 46.4 | 42.8 |
M. Dickerson
|
G | 26 | 22.2 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 71 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 34.7 | 22.8 | 69.0 | 1.22 | 43.9 | 40.1 |
W. Rogers
|
G | 32 | 23.2 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 49.3 | 0.0 | 57.9 | -0.81 | 51.7 | 49.3 |
A. Ruddock
|
G | 32 | 15.8 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 70 | 2.9 | 9.9 | 38.1 | 40.2 | 77.8 | 0.67 | 57.7 | 55.0 |
Y. Cox
|
C | 28 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 67 | 2.9 | 9.7 | 59.7 | 0 | 28.6 | 2.14 | 56.6 | 59.7 |
P. Fields
|
G | 23 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | -18 | -1.4 | -13.3 | 26.2 | 23.6 | 83.3 | -2.14 | 39.3 | 36.9 |
A. Ferguson
|
F | 18 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 12 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 55.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG