Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | -13.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles +3 (76-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn Rose * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -8.9 |
| Zyion Shannon * | 30 | 5-18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -14.9 |
| Marlie Dickerson * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | -10.6 |
| Wynter Rogers * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11.4 |
| Mia Tarver * | 16 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -13.4 |
| Mimi McCollister | 25 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +13.1 |
| Yves Cox | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Bella Weary | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +10.2 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 15 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +8.1 |
| Allyson Ferguson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainhoa Cea * | 43 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Sisi Eleko * | 42 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | +11.2 |
| Peyton Hill * | 40 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 18 | +17.4 |
| Fernanda Ovalle * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Brooklyn Thrash * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +1.0 |
| Artemis Kouki | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Paula Balada | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Sarah Rekowski | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.3 |
* = starter