Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn Rose | 28 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | +23.2 |
| Wynter Rogers | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +22.2 |
| Mia Tarver | 25 | 6-17 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +19.0 |
| Zyion Shannon | 25 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +17.9 |
| Marlie Dickerson | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +18.3 |
| Bella Weary | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -15.6 |
| Payton Fields | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -16.1 |
| Mimi McCollister | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -14.6 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 13 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5 | -14.2 |
| Yves Cox | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -14.8 |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleyah Jones | 36 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Emily Robinson | 34 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Bonnie Deas | 29 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Wyvette Mayberry | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -6.6 |
| Jenna Lawrence | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Harmonie Ware | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Ashlynn Chlarson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Maryn Archer | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.4 |
* = starter