Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | -5.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -5.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -18 (71-89). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn Rose * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Marlie Dickerson * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Wynter Rogers * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Zyion Shannon * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Mia Tarver * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mimi McCollister | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bella Weary | 18 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Yves Cox | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Aniyah Ruddock | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D'Arrah Allen | 14 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Payton Fields | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcavia Shavers * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Keshunti Nichols * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Asjah Inniss * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Nakiyah Mays-Prince * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jazmine Jackson * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -11.0 |
| J'Mani Ingram | 31 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Kamille Brown | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Gasaway | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Abby Leahy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Katelyn Chomko | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter