Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | +3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +8 (62-54). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn Rose * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -0.8 |
| Mia Tarver * | 25 | 4-15 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | -9.9 |
| Zyion Shannon * | 25 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Yves Cox * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -5.7 |
| Aniyah Ruddock * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Marlie Dickerson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Mimi McCollister | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +5.5 |
| Bella Weary | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +0.9 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 14 | 3-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | +3.4 |
| Wynter Rogers | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Payton Fields | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberlynn Yeast * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | +10.2 |
| Peyton Ilderton * | 35 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +7.4 |
| Timaya Lewis-Eutsey * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 10 | +13.9 |
| Meredith Maier * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +11.3 |
| Leyocha Marigney * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 24 | +20.8 |
| Ni'Kiah Chesterfield | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -12.2 |
| Kassie Ingram | 11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Blessing King | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Aarionna Redman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +1.4 |
| TreShondra Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.2 |
* = starter